The Lombard Review

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Tech

Big Tech keeps spending after DeepSeek

Despite the tectonic valuation shock delivered by DeepSeek, the world's largest technology conglomerates delivered an unambiguous message during late-January earnings reports: the artificial intelligence buildout will not slow down.

Special Report

Lunar New Year: DeepSeek and China's tech comeback

The Lunar New Year opened with an unexpected reversal in global technological leadership.

Markets & Finance

DeepSeek's shock sends investors running to bonds

A sudden technological shock from Hangzhou shattered the core consensus governing modern equity valuation.

Economy

How do you measure chaos?

Financial markets have found it trivial to price known economic risks, but pricing structural policy volatility has overwhelmed traditional econometric models.

Politics

Trump's first day: no tariffs, yet

The inauguration of Donald Trump arrived without the immediate, sweeping tariff executive orders that markets had spent weeks bracing for.

Business

Wall Street banks bet on deregulation

Markets & Finance

Britain's borrowing costs hit a 27-year high

The yield on British 30-year government bonds has breached 5.47 per cent, touching levels not seen in twenty-seven years and sending severe warning signals through HM Treasury.

Economy

Great jobs data, bad news for bonds

A headline non-farm payrolls gain of 256,000 for December delivered a resounding blow to bond investors betting on a rapid Federal Reserve easing campaign.

Economy

Why America borrows like it's in a crisis

The United States closed fiscal year 2024 with a budget deficit of $1.83 trillion, an extraordinary 6.4 per cent of gross domestic product generated in an economy operating at peacetime full employment.

Business

Biden blocks the US Steel deal

The White House’s formal block of Nippon Steel’s proposed $14.9 billion acquisition of United States Steel marks the definitive subordination of cross-border capital mobility to domestic industrial politics.

Special Report

New Year: 2025 comes down to one word — tariffs

Corporate financial planning for 2025 has been compressed into a single unhedgeable variable: trade policy.

Politics

The debt ceiling is back

The suspension of the statutory US debt ceiling, negotiated in May 2023, officially terminates on 1 January 2025.

Special Report

New Year's Eve: The dollar's big year

As the final trading session of 2024 concludes, foreign exchange markets can look back on an exceptional year of dollar supremacy.

Economy

How much inflation could tariffs add?

As Wall Street economic desks finalize their 2025 outlooks, quantitative modeling has shifted entirely to evaluating the macroeconomic consequences of prospective tariff scenarios.

Special Report

Boxing Day: Why money markets get jumpy at year-end

As the calendar turns toward year-end, money market desks are once again navigating the predictable, mechanical volatility that plagues wholesale funding markets.

Special Report

Christmas: A lump of coal from the Fed

For financial markets hoping for an extended season of monetary goodwill, the Federal Reserve’s December policy package felt distinctly like a lump of coal in the stocking.

Economy

The Fed cuts, then takes back half of next year's cuts

The Federal Reserve concluded 2024 with a calculated monetary retreat.

Business

Honda and Nissan: merging to survive

Confronted with an existential technological transition toward electric vehicles and fierce competition from Chinese automotive titans, Japan’s Honda and Nissan have confirmed exploratory discussions regarding a historic merger.

Economy

The Fed is about to cut, and sound tough doing it

The Federal Reserve enters its December policy meeting trapped in an intricate communication dilemma.

Economy

The inflation that won't budge

World

China finally promises to loosen up

Business

US Steel's deal is in limbo

The proposed $14.9 billion acquisition of US Steel by Japan’s Nippon Steel has been plunged into deep political limbo.

Markets & Finance

France now borrows at higher rates than Greece

European sovereign bond markets crossed a historic, symbolic Rubicon on 28 November.

Special Report

Cyber Monday: The hidden debt of buy now, pay later

Cyber Monday set another towering commercial record, with online spending reaching $13.3 billion.

Special Report

Black Friday: Shoppers race to beat the tariffs

Black Friday shopping malls and e-commerce platforms buzzed with an unusual sense of urgency this year.

Economy

The last mile of inflation is the hardest

The October core PCE price index advanced at an annualized rate of 2.8 per cent, marking the fourth consecutive month that core inflation has remained cemented near three per cent.

Special Report

Thanksgiving: Why eggs cost more this year

As American families gathered for Thanksgiving dinner, the annual American Farm Bureau Federation survey provided an interesting study in agricultural price dynamics.

World

Trump threatens Mexico and Canada

Business

Companies are stockpiling before the tariffs hit

Corporate procurement managers across the United States have embarked on an aggressive inventory hoarding campaign.

Markets & Finance

Can a stronger dollar cancel out tariffs?

As the US Dollar Index (DXY) marched back toward 107 in the wake of the US election, trade economists began evaluating a critical theoretical question: can a surging dollar neutralize the inflationary impact of proposed import tariffs?

Economy

How low will the Fed go?

The Federal Reserve delivered a measured 25-basis-point interest rate cut on 7 November, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.50–4.75 per cent.

Politics

A 60% tariff is a tax on Americans

Donald Trump’s formal reaffirmation of plans to impose an aggressive sixty per cent tariff on all imports from China represents an unprecedented economic shock.

Special Report

Singles' Day: China fixes its local debt, not its shoppers

Beijing chose the eve of Singles’ Day to unveil its long-awaited fiscal stimulus package, but the announcement delivered a profound disappointment to retail market bulls.

Markets & Finance

The winners from a Republican sweep

The morning after Donald Trump’s electoral victory, equity markets delivered a spectacular divergence.

Markets & Finance

Election night for the bond market

As election night returns confirmed Donald Trump’s decisive victory alongside a Republican sweep of Congress, the US sovereign bond market delivered an immediate, violent verdict.

Special Report

Diwali: India's record IPO rush

As Diwali illuminated India, Mumbai’s financial district was celebrating an unprecedented capital-raising frenzy.

Economy

Just 12,000 jobs: what storms and strikes hide

The October employment report delivered an astonishingly weak headline print, with non-farm payrolls expanding by a negligible 12,000 jobs.

Special Report

Halloween: The Fed cut, and yields went up

On Halloween, bond investors were confronted with a genuine fixed-income horror show.

Politics

Trump vs Harris: the bill for each

An exhaustive fiscal analysis published by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) delivered a sobering quantification of the 2024 presidential platforms.

Business

Tesla's profits: look closer

Tesla shares staged an explosive twenty-two per cent post-earnings rally after reporting a surprising expansion in third-quarter automotive gross margins to 17.1 per cent.

Politics

Election jitters push up long-term rates

With the US presidential election approaching, fixed-income markets have succumbed to acute fiscal anxiety.

Politics

Who really paid for Trump's first tariffs

As the prospect of aggressive new tariff regimes dominates the political debate, empirical research into the 2018–2019 trade war offers definitive evidence regarding who actually bears the cost of import duties.

Explainer

How Chinese goods reach America through Mexico

Business

Banks' interest income bottoms out

Third-quarter earnings from America’s premier commercial banks revealed that the margin windfall from restrictive interest rates is finally decelerating.

Markets & Finance

The Fed cut rates. Why are mortgage rates rising?

In one of the most counterintuitive market moves of recent years, the Federal Reserve’s jumbo 50-basis-point interest rate cut was immediately followed by a sharp surge in long-term borrowing costs.

Economy

254,000 jobs, despite the hurricanes

The September employment report delivered an astonishing, market-rattling surprise: non-farm payrolls surged by 254,000 jobs, while previous months were revised upward by 72,000 and the unemployment rate retreated to 4.1 per cent.

Economy

The port strike that could hit Christmas

The shutdown of thirty-six major container ports along the US East and Gulf Coasts by 45,000 members of the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) delivered an immediate shock to retail and manufacturing supply chains.

Business

Microsoft reopens Three Mile Island

In one of the most remarkable corporate transactions of the modern energy era, Microsoft has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement to revive the shuttered Unit 1 reactor at the Three Mile Island nuclear facility.

World

China finally fires its stimulus bazooka

Confronted with an intractable property slump, deepening deflation, and failing economic targets, Beijing finally abandoned its piecemeal stimulus approach.

Economy

The Fed goes big

Jerome Powell chose institutional boldness over gradualism at the September FOMC meeting, delivering an oversized 50-basis-point interest rate cut that lowered the benchmark rate to 4.75–5.00 per cent.