The Fed hikes, and its chair skips the dot plot
Missing chair projection as signal
Higher base rate hits rollovers
On 25 September, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.104 per cent, crossing its highest level since the eve of the global financial crisis in the summer of 2007. The milestone was triggered by an exceptionally weak, disastrous $70 billion five-year Treasury note auction that tailed heavily, confirming that primary dealer balance sheets have …
Strong labour data forces tightening
MOU without verification
Oil shock re-priced into swaps
Two-tier rates plus exemptions
Two-tier rates plus exemptions
Minority votes signal next move
Agentic tools threaten seat pricing
Asset repricing vs deposit betas
Earnings quality of refunds