The Lombard Review

Special Reports

Markets & Finance

Boxing Day: The year-end squeeze in money markets

While equity investors were enjoying eggnog and holiday rallies, money market desks were navigating the quiet, annual liquidity squeeze that accompanies year-end balance-sheet reporting.

Markets & Finance

Christmas: Is the Santa rally real?

The final trading days of December are traditionally greeted on Wall Street with mystical references to the 'Santa Claus rally'—the statistical tendency for equities to drift higher into year-end.

Economy

Cyber Monday: Record spending on borrowed money

Cyber Monday set a staggering new record, with American online shoppers racking up $12.4 billion in purchases in twenty-four hours.

Business

Black Friday: Retailers finally have the right amount of stock

Black Friday arrived with an unfamiliar sight across American retail: tidy shelves, disciplined inventory, and the near-total absence of panic clearance sales.

Markets & Finance

Thanksgiving: Bond investors finally have something to be thankful for

As American families gathered for Thanksgiving, fixed-income fund managers enjoyed a rare moment of genuine gratitude.

Markets & Finance

Diwali: India's festive boom runs on credit

As millions celebrated Diwali across India, cash registers rang to the sound of an unprecedented consumer spending boom.

World

Singles' Day: China's shoppers have lost their nerve

China’s annual Singles’ Day shopping extravaganza has long served as a glittering showcase of consumer animal spirits and domestic consumption growth.

Business

Halloween: The zombie companies are rising

For more than a decade, zero-interest-rate monetary policy functioned as a financial life-support machine for fundamentally unviable enterprises.

Markets & Finance

Anniversary: Our first year, graded

One year ago, this column commenced with a simple premise: that the most aggressive central bank tightening cycle in forty years would inevitably collide with private balance sheets.

Economy

Labor Day: The job market is cooling the right way

For eighteen months, monetary orthodoxy insisted that cooling inflation required engineering a painful surge in unemployment.

Business

Prime Day: What Amazon's discounts say about inflation

Amazon’s annual Prime Day has grown into an informal gauge of American consumer resilience and retail pricing dynamics.

U.S.

Independence Day: Washington is paying factories to come home

The global race for industrial reshoring has transformed corporate capital allocation from a private optimization exercise into a state-subsidised land grab.

Business

Memorial Day: The debt deal is done. Now comes the bill

Political theatre in Washington has concluded with its customary anticlimax, but the financial reckoning is only just entering the order books.

Personal Finance

Tax Day: What April's tax cheques say about the debt ceiling

As millions of American taxpayers finalized their annual federal income tax filings on 18 April, quantitative analysts across Wall Street money market desks were performing their own high-stakes forensic calculations.

Economy

Valentine's Day: Markets still love rate cuts. The Fed doesn't love them back

Financial markets have spent the past eighteen months engaged in an unrequited romance with Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Business

Super Bowl: $7m for 30 seconds, and what it says about confidence

World

Lunar New Year: China's reopening lifts the yuan

The Lunar New Year celebration coincided with a dramatic financial renaissance for the Chinese currency.

Economy

New Year: Everyone expects a recession. That's the warning sign

As institutional forecasters inaugurate 2023, consensus has reached a degree of unanimity that should terrify any experienced market participant.

Markets & Finance

New Year's Eve: The year the classic portfolio failed

For four decades, the traditional 60/40 balanced portfolio was the bedrock of institutional asset allocation.

Business

Boxing Day: The $816bn problem of returned presents

The retail sector’s annual post-holiday accounting begins with a ritual that destroys corporate margins: the deluge of returned merchandise.

Markets & Finance

Christmas: Why markets go quiet — and fragile — at year-end

As the trading year draws to its traditional close, financial markets enter a ritualized phase of quiet that casual observers mistake for tranquility.

Economy

Cyber Monday: What the discounts say about inflation

Markets & Finance

Black Friday: Shop now, pay later, default sooner

As the holiday shopping season officially launches with the retail ritual of Black Friday, shopping malls and digital storefronts are bustling with promotional activity.

U.S.

Thanksgiving: Why your turkey cost 20% more

Business

Singles' Day: Alibaba stops showing its numbers

For more than a decade, the annual Singles’ Day shopping spectacle operated as the premier corporate showcase for the boundless consumer appetites of the Chinese middle class.

Markets & Finance

Halloween: The scariest year for bonds in memory

As financial markets arrive at Halloween, the traditional portfolio allocations constructed over four decades of benign disinflation are nursing losses of historic proportions.

World

Diwali: India's gold habit is weighing on the rupee

As millions of Indian households celebrate Diwali on 24 October, shopping districts across Mumbai and New Delhi are witnessing the customary festive surge in gold purchases.