The Lombard Review

Bank profits hold up in a higher-for-longer world

Looking up at 1 Churchill Place, the Barclays building, in Canary Wharf.
Looking up at 1 Churchill Place, the Barclays building, in Canary Wharf. Photo: mattbuck/Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0

First-quarter earnings from Wall Street’s banking titans demonstrated that premier financial institutions have adapted with remarkable agility to restrictive interest rates. JPMorgan Chase reported resilient profitability and guided for full-year net interest income of roughly $90 billion, proving that diversified lenders can thrive in a 'higher-for-longer' monetary environment.

An Airbus Beluga transport aircraft at Toulouse-Blagnac, July 2014.
An Airbus Beluga transport aircraft at Toulouse-Blagnac, July 2014. Photo: Gyrostat/Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0

The Asset Repricing Cushion

While deposit costs have indeed risen, banks are offsetting the friction through the ongoing repricing of term assets. Corporate revolving credit facilities, commercial loans, and newly purchased securities are rolling over into five- and six-per-cent yields, generating robust top-line interest revenues. Premier banking balance sheets are acting as cash-flow machines, insulating shareholders from the headwinds facing regional competitors.

A Phillips 66 filling station.
A Phillips 66 filling station. Photo: Tony Webster/Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 2.0

Wall Street’s largest banks are proving that high base rates are not an existential threat, but an engine of sustained profitability for institutions with pristine funding franchises.

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